
Open Championship Best Bets
Share
⛳️ Open Championship Best Bets – Royal Portrush (July 17–20, 2025)
Royal Portrush, a links gem in Northern Ireland (7,337 yd, par 71), returns to host the Open for the third time, demanding precision on wind‑blown fairways, shaved greens, and coastal conditions.
🔥 Top Outright Picks
Scottie Scheffler to Win (+550)
-
World No. 1 enters off a dominant season, backed by stats favoring his approach accuracy and cut avoidance on slow greens.
Rory McIlroy to Win (+750)
-
The local hero owns elite form (runner-up at Scottish Open, career Slam complete) and knows these dunes well—think emotional edge.
Jon Rahm to Win (+1200)
-
Elite streak, strong links record, LIV form, and consistent major results—second‑tier bet with upside.
🎯 Smart Pick Props
Tommy Fleetwood Top-10 (28/1)
-
Familiarity with Portrush (runner-up in 2019), ideal links pedigree makes this a top value play .
Collin Morikawa to Win (+3000)
-
Two-time major winner with solid accuracy and a new caddie—recent form suggests he can surprise .
Robert MacIntyre Top-20 (40/1)
-
Local Scottish standout, historically strong final‑round links performance—a legit sleeper .
💡 Dark-Horse Plays
-
Daniel Berger (+100‑1): Bombs straight, hitting greens—if the putter wakes up, sharp on layout .
-
Matthew Jordan (+200‑1): Quietly consistent at majors—great longshot in volatile conditions .
✅ Final Strategy
-
Target winners with accuracy (Scheffler, Morikawa, Fleetwood).
-
Balance star value with savvy sleepers (MacIntyre, Berger, Jordan).
-
Use props/top finish lines for diversified exposure in this wind‑prone, narrow‑greens test.
Set your alerts for Thursday morning and tee off your weekend with FadeThePublic-approved angles that blend elite setups with smart sleeper takes!