Open Championship Best Bets

Open Championship Best Bets

⛳️ Open Championship Best Bets – Royal Portrush (July 17–20, 2025)

Royal Portrush, a links gem in Northern Ireland (7,337 yd, par 71), returns to host the Open for the third time, demanding precision on wind‑blown fairways, shaved greens, and coastal conditions.


🔥 Top Outright Picks

Scottie Scheffler to Win (+550)

  • World No. 1 enters off a dominant season, backed by stats favoring his approach accuracy and cut avoidance on slow greens.

Rory McIlroy to Win (+750)

  • The local hero owns elite form (runner-up at Scottish Open, career Slam complete) and knows these dunes well—think emotional edge.

Jon Rahm to Win (+1200)

  • Elite streak, strong links record, LIV form, and consistent major results—second‑tier bet with upside.


🎯 Smart Pick Props

Tommy Fleetwood Top-10 (28/1)

  • Familiarity with Portrush (runner-up in 2019), ideal links pedigree makes this a top value play .

Collin Morikawa to Win (+3000)

  • Two-time major winner with solid accuracy and a new caddie—recent form suggests he can surprise .

Robert MacIntyre Top-20 (40/1)

  • Local Scottish standout, historically strong final‑round links performance—a legit sleeper .


💡 Dark-Horse Plays

  • Daniel Berger (+100‑1): Bombs straight, hitting greens—if the putter wakes up, sharp on layout .

  • Matthew Jordan (+200‑1): Quietly consistent at majors—great longshot in volatile conditions .


✅ Final Strategy

  • Target winners with accuracy (Scheffler, Morikawa, Fleetwood).

  • Balance star value with savvy sleepers (MacIntyre, Berger, Jordan).

  • Use props/top finish lines for diversified exposure in this wind‑prone, narrow‑greens test.

Set your alerts for Thursday morning and tee off your weekend with FadeThePublic-approved angles that blend elite setups with smart sleeper takes!

Back to blog

Leave a comment