⛳ US Open Best Bets — Oakmont (June 12–15, 2025)

The brutal Oakmont layout—with thick rough, sloped greens, and par‑70 setup—turns the 125th U.S. Open into a war of attrition. With only ~2% of players finishing under par in prior renewals, the key this weekend is accuracy and resilience.

🔥 Top Plays

1. Scottie Scheffler to Win (+275)

• World No. 1 has already claimed three of his last four titles and dominated majors with consistency on approach and tee‑to‑green.

• Oakmont’s demand for pinpoint iron play fits his precision‑first style.

• +275 offers solid value for a golfer in top form and on a hot streak heading into the weekend.

2. Miss‑the‑Cut Parlay (Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas) @ ~268/1

• The course’s difficulty breeds volatility. MLB handicapper Michael Leboff highlights these big names as vulnerable to Oakmont’s traps.

• A high‑variance parlay with massive upside playing into Oakmont’s narrative of chaos.

3. Shane Lowry Top‑10 Finish

• Historic form (T‑2 in 2016), strong current play, and composure for tough venues make him a perfect fit.

• Odds around 35–40/1 offer excellent value for a course‐savvy veteran.

4. Victor Perez Top‑20 (+650)

• Exceptional driving accuracy combined with recent form make him a dark‑horse candidate 

• Top‑20 is attainable—and odds are suggestive of value.

💡 Bonus Props

• Collin Morikawa +2500 to Win — Elite accuracy and analytic approach suit Oakmont’s challenge

• Tommy Fleetwood / Harris English: Make the Cut Parlay — Proven major consistency and form, safe mid‑range play 

✅ Final Take

Oakmont’s sheer difficulty levels the playing field. Scheffler remains the most logical favorite—but savvy bettors can leverage low‑probability, high‑reward plays via miss-the-cut parlays and experience-backed value bets like Lowry and Perez.

Stay disciplined, play smart, and enjoy the grind at Oakmont.